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A Chameleon Model – Why Bitcoin’s Stock-to-Flow Model is Fatally Flawed — Strix Leviathan

A Chameleon Model – Why Bitcoin’s Stock-to-Flow Model is Fatally Flawed — Strix Leviathan



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5 Comments

  1. This is a key phrase from the above paper: Perhaps unsurprisingly then, SF has no direct relationship with gold’s value over the last 115 years, as can be seen in the scatter plot below. Gold’s market capitalization held valuations between ~$60B to ~$9T, all at the same SF value of 60. A range of $8T is not very indicative of explanatory power and lends itself to the obvious conclusion that other factors drive gold’s USD valuation.

  2. bitcoin is so much bigger than the price and models. who fucking cares about a model let alone wasting time debunking it.

    we have lightning, sphinx chat, strike, podcasting index, taproot, schnoor signatures and so much more. this is what people should be writing and talking about.

  3. tldr; A Dutch institutional investor’s Bitcoin valuation model, popularized by a pseudonymous Twitter account “PlanB,” has been widely praised and is the leading valuation model for Bitcoin proponents. However, we believe the model will likely be about as successful at forecasting Bitcoin’S future price as astrological models of the past were at predicting financial outcomes.

    *This summary is auto generated by a bot and not meant to replace reading the original article. As always, DYOR.*

  4. It’s nailed its targets too long to be considered inaccurate, and at this point has become a self-fulfilling prophecy—at least to $100k. The article’s points on gold are bad as it was artificially suppressed, manipulated, and appropriated by governments. What’s a goldmine? A hole in the ground with a liar standing at top.

What do you think?

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