Bitcoin (BTC) has surged past $51,000 levels and is 5% as of writing this article. At press time, BTC is trading at a price of $51,402 with a market cap of $945 billion.
People have PTSD about mass-dumping.
But don’t worry, we’re good now.
Two whale dumping indicators said there are fewer whales compared to the past. The bull-run is likely to continue.
— Ki Young Ju 주기영 (@ki_young_ju) March 3, 2021
1. BTC: All Exchanges Inflow Mean
“In the 144-block moving average chart, if this indicator goes over 2 BTC during the surge, Bitcoin whale dumping is likely to happen. If it goes below 2 BTC immediately after the dip, it means victim whales are depositing to exchanges but not sold them”.
This data is based on the historical trends of the last three years. As per the latest chart in the above tweet shared by Ju, the BTC all exchange inflow mean has dropped to 1.0 suggesting no further mass dumping.
2. BTC: Exchange Whale Ratio
This metric checks the relative size of the top 10 inflows vis-a-vis total inflows. The whale ratio is often below 85% during the bull market. However, in the case of the bear market or mass-dumping by whales, it stays above 85%. The exchange whale ratio in the second chart by Ju shows that it is currently at 84%.
Well, the tweet by Ju was made one hour back and Bitcoin has added $1000 to its price during the same period. This is a testament to the fact of how powerful these indicators have been. Earlier today, Ju also tweeted:
“Whales accumulating $BTC. They are making a lot of bear traps lately, but the price seems to recover the institutional buying level, 48k. Looking at recent Coinbase outflows, most of the outflows that went to custody wallets were at 48k price.”
On Tuesday, March 2, nearly 12,000 BTC moved out of Coinbase.
— unfolded. (@cryptounfolded) March 2, 2021
Another bull indicator as per data on Skew Analytics shows that the implied Bitcoin volatility is now reset back to early January levels, before the previous bull run.
Implied bitcoin volatility resets to early January levels.
Implied volatility usually increases in bearish markets and decreases when the market is bullish. pic.twitter.com/DIZdFbXUdl
— unfolded. (@cryptounfolded) March 3, 2021
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