Bitcoin kicked off this week on the red, and the rest of the crypto market followed. In the top 10 cryptocurrencies by market cap, BTC and Ethereum are amongst the most resilient for the weekly chart.
In that time, the market has been hit by a succession of “buy the rumor, sell the news” events, and one major macro factor with the potential default of Chinese real state giant, Evergrande. Thus, the levels of uncertainty have been on the rise.
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In the middle of this storm impacting Bitcoin and other major cryptocurrencies, there is a select group that has managed to stay in the green. According to a recent report by Arcane Research, the assets that comprised their middle-cap altcoins index recorded some profits as the bearish trend unfolded.
For the 30 days chart, the Mid Cap Index comprised of cryptocurrencies such as Tezos, Algorand, and Avalanche showed small profits. These tokens have seen a massive rally during Q3, 2021, and were amongst the biggest losers during this week’s bearish trend, but they are still up 5% in the monthly chart, as seen below.
Source: Arcane Research
In opposition, Bitcoin records a 9% loss in the 30-day chart with similar losses for Ethereum, Cardano, Solana, Binance Coin, and other major cryptocurrencies. Smaller assets experienced the highest losses for this period with a 14% loss by September 21. Arcane Research noted:
As often happens during market turmoil, the Bitcoin dominance increases, as altcoins often act as high beta play on the crypto sector. The last week, bitcoin’s market share increased by 1.14% grabbing market share from the other big coins like ETH, ADA, and SOL.
Bitcoin Reacts To Macro Factors, What’s Next?
In a separate report, investment firm QCP Capital analyzed the bigger picture for Bitcoin and the crypto market. Although mid-caps preserved part of their gains in higher timeframes, they will most likely follow BTC’s price trajectory in the short term despite their fundamentals.
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The first cryptocurrency by market cap faces September, a month that has historically been bearish for the asset, and potential complications from regulators in the U.S. and the performance on the Asia markets due to Evergrande.
As QCP Capital noted, tomorrow September 22, will be crucial to determine the trend in the short term. Bitcoin must hold the $40,200 support in case of more downside pressure when the market re-open after a long weekend.
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The firm expect some government intervention to rescue the real estate company. This could result in the best-case scenario for Bitcoin and the crypto market, but there is a lot of fear and uncertainty about China’s approach. QCP Capital said:
(…) the lack of guidance so far from Chinese regulators is scaring the market. The fear here is that President Xi could allow. Evergrande to fail as an example to the other real estate players ahead of the 100th anniversary of Chinese Communist Party (CCP) in 2022. He has already taken draconian steps with Big Tech and Education. At this point, the market has already priced in Evergrande’s equity as worthless (…).
At the time of writing, Bitcoin trades at $42,814 with a 2.6% loss in the daily chart.
BTC with small losses in the daily chart. Source: BTCUSD Tradingview