There is a huge amount (billions of USD) of options (both BTC and ETH) expiring on March 26, 2021.
There may be some volatility of both ETH and BTC close to March 26, as institutions try to “push the price toward the max pain point”. For BTC, the max pain point is calculated to be around $44,000. Corresponding ETH max pain point could be around $1320.
Max pain theory [does have some numerical evidence backing it](https://medium.com/coinoptionstrack/max-pain-theory-predicting-the-bitcoin-price-at-options-expiration-ca05130bedff), though it is not 100% accurate (which most theories aren’t). In particular, it is not guaranteed that the max pain point (of BTC $44,000) is actually reached, though it may move in that direction.
The bullish note is that, if ETH and BTC survives the volatility after Friday, Mar 26, the selling pressure would be greatly reduced (there is no more incentive to manipulate prices for options).
Hold your ground, hodl your Crypto. Sons of Gondor, of Rohan!
* The max pain theory states that the market will gravitate toward the pain point while heading into the expiry.
* That’s because sellers – typically institutions or sophisticated traders with ample capital supply – often try to push the price toward the max pain point by buying or selling the asset on spot or futures markets.
* **The bullish spin is that if bitcoin makes it through Friday without a major correction, a major overhang will be lifted.**